BRICS Expansion 2023

Share of Global GDP

Because most of the new BRICS members are considered to be developing economies, their addition to the group will not have a major impact on its overall share of GDP.

The following table includes GDP projections for 2023, courtesy of the IMF.

Original BRICS
Member
Country GDP (USD billions) Share of Global (%)
Yes  Brazil $2,081 2.0%
Yes  Russia $2,063 2.0%
Yes  India $3,737 3.6%
Yes  China $19,374 18.4%
Yes  South Africa $399 0.4%
No  Saudi Arabia $1,062 1.0%
No  Iran $368 0.4%
No  Ethiopia $156 0.1%
No  Egypt $387 0.4%
No  Argentina $641 0.6%
No  UAE $499 0.5%
BRICS Total $30,767 29.3%
Rest of World $74,362 70.7%

The original six BRICS members are expected to have a combined GDP of $27.6 trillion in 2023, representing 26.3% of the global total. With the new members included, expected GDP climbs slightly to $30.8 trillion, enough for a 29.3% global share.

Share of Global Population

BRICS has always represented a major chunk of global population thanks to China and India, which are the only countries with over 1 billion people.

The two biggest populations being added to BRICS are Ethiopia (126.5 million) and Egypt (112.7 million). See the following table for population data from World Population Review, which is dated as of 2023.

Original BRICS
Member
Country Population Share of Global (%)
Yes  Brazil 216,422,446 2.7%
Yes  Russia 144,444,359 1.8%
Yes  India 1,428,627,663 17.8%
Yes  China 1,425,671,352 17.7%
Yes  South Africa 60,414,495 0.8%
No  Saudi Arabia 36,947,025 0.5%
No  Iran 89,172,767 1.1%
No  Ethiopia 126,527,060 1.6%
No  Egypt 112,716,598 1.4%
No  Argentina 45,773,884 0.6%
No  UAE 9,516,871 0.1%
BRICS Total 3.7 billion 46.0%
Rest of World 4.3 billion 54.0%

Share of Oil Production

Although the world is trying to move away from fossil fuels, the global oil market is still incredibly large—and BRICS is set to play a much bigger role in it. This is mostly due to the admission of Saudi Arabia, which alone accounts for 12.9% of global oil production.

Based on 2022 figures from the Energy Institute Statistical Review of World Energy, BRICS’ share of oil production will grow from 20.4% to 43.1%.

Original BRICS
Member
Country Thousand Barrels
per Day
Share of Global (%)
Yes 🇧🇷 Brazil 3,107 3.3%
Yes 🇷🇺 Russia 11,202 11.9%
Yes 🇮🇳 India 737 0.8%
Yes 🇨🇳 China 4,111 4.4%
Yes 🇿🇦 South Africa 0 0.0%
No 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 12,136 12.9%
No 🇮🇷 Iran 3,822 4.1%
No 🇪🇹 Ethiopia 0 0.0%
No 🇪🇬 Egypt 613 0.7%
No 🇦🇷 Argentina 706 0.8%
No 🇦🇪 UAE 4,020 4.3%
BRICS Total 40,454 43.1%
Rest of World 53,394 56.9%